by halfdan » Tue Feb 04, 2014 9:58 am
Yes, it will have an impact From the research I've seen, newspapers select an editorial opinion that places them within the mainstream opinion of their market. They do this, of course, to sell more papers. So they have to find a way to put themselves in the central opinion within their market, or else they start to marginalize themselves. Now, things have been rather fluid in Iowa leading up to the caucusses. Folks are all looking around at each other, wondering which way to break. They may pride themselves on being independent, but in the end, we are social animals, and they will all kind of partly want to break with the largest group, so they can feel like they've picked a winner. I'm not sure if the Des Moines paper is the only, or the major paper in the Iowa market, although I suspect it is. Ok, so I researched it. http://www.editorandpublisher.com/eandp/news/article_display.jsp?vnu_content_id=1003668121 It looks like it is a pretty influential paper(The Des Moines Register) and it came out for Clinton and McCain. http://www.editorandpublisher.com/eandp/news/article_display.jsp?vnu_content_id=1003686030 Both of these candidates, to my mind, are very middle of the road candidates. Iowa, I think, is a middle-of-the-road state. They take pride on their ability to influence the country and provide leadership in electoral choices. Something has to coalesce, here. I suspect this endorsement is fairly significant, and is based on some polling by the paper, and some serious judgement about the mood of Iowans. This paper does not want to stray from its base, any more than politicians want to plant themselves too firmly far away from the center(if they are serious). I'm going to make a bold pronouncement(because we'll know if I'm right in less than 3 weeks) and say this is quite significant, and suggests who may win the caucusses. They have loopy grins on their faces in Clinton and McCain headquarters in Iowa about now! Zhop 73 months ago Please sign in to give a compliment. Please verify your account to give a compliment. Please sign in to send a message. Please verify your account to send a message.