by Udale » Fri Feb 21, 2014 1:17 am
What happens when China holds so much of our debt Nancy: Before we even get started on this question, let me give as background that China gets much of its oil from Iran, as well as from Russia, and China and Russia are snugging up behind Iran, giving support and forming alliances. They clearly don't want the mess in Iraq to spill over into Iran. Then there's another side, which is that our debt is being supported by China sinking a lot of dollars into it. The trade imbalance is such that the US buys a lot of China stuff, it's cheap, but they don't buy a lot of our stuff. Consequently, the Chinese get all these dollars when we buy their stuff, so they've got all these dollars they've got to invest, and they do it by buying our bonds. Since our dollar is dropping, even with interest, they might be getting back less than they put in. So if you rattle China, and they don't buy our bonds but instead dump our dollars, this not only does not float our debt, we need a huge amount of cash infusion to float our debt, but it would cause our dollar to drop even more than it is, and this creates an inflationary situation in the US. Iran also wants to open an oil bourse, which will allow the world to trade for oil in Euros rather than dollars. What's holding the US dollar up is the fact that the Saudi's, decades ago, agreed to only trade in US dollars, and they're one of the biggest producers, have one of the largest reserves. Even though Norway and Venezuela and some other countries have switched to the Euro, Iran would have been the straw that breaks the camels back, trading that would rival the London oil trade which deals in dollars. If that happens, countries like China do not need to hold their dollars for oil. They can just switch over to the Euro. In anticipation of this kind of a disaster, the US stopped reporting their M3 report, which shows where the money is coming from. This means they can print money like a banana republic, and no one would know it. But when you flood a lot of printed money into the market, every dollar that's out there loses value and rampant inflation sets in. Another issue is that China is pinning their Yuan to the US dollar, which makes their goods remain cheap in the US, where the US wants them to free their Yuan from the dollar. This would allow the dollar to drop and reduce the value of the bonds China holds, thereby reducing the US debt load. This is the background to the question. Sources: http://www.zetatalk.com/index/zeta277.htm newbie2268986 77 months ago Please sign in to give a compliment. Please verify your account to give a compliment. Please sign in to send a message. Please verify your account to send a message.